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Daily Report : TradingEdge Weekly for May 30 - Risk-on behavior, high correlations, inflation expectations

Jason Goepfert
2025-05-30
This week, we saw that investors are exhibiting risk-on behavior once again, which tends to be favorable for forward returns. The S&P 500's price pattern since its peak has 15 close analogs, suggesting the next couple of weeks are important. Inflation expectations are uncomfortably high. Several sectors look favorable due to high correlations or improving trend scores.
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TradingEdge Weekly for May 30 - Risk-on behavior, high correlations, inflation expectations: This week, we saw that investors are exhibiting risk-on behavior once again, which tends to be favorable for forward returns. The S&P 500's price pattern since its peak has 15 close analogs, suggesting the next couple of weeks are important. Inflation expectations are uncomfortably high. Several sectors look favorable due to high correlations or improving trend scores.

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Research

TradingEdge Weekly for May 30 - Risk-on behavior, high correlations, inflation expectations

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
This week, we saw that investors are exhibiting risk-on behavior once again, which tends to be favorable for forward returns. The S&P 500's price pattern since its peak has 15 close analogs, suggesting the next couple of weeks are important. Inflation expectations are uncomfortably high. Several sectors look favorable due to high correlations or improving trend scores.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

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% Showing Pessimism: 5%
Bullish for Stocks
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 32%
Bearish for Stocks
NYSE High/Low Ratio
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
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Rydex Ratio
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ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
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Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
ISE Call/Put Ratio
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Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
NYSE Available Cash

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Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
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Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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