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The 30-30-30-10 Investment Strategy: No investment strategy works all the time. Combining strategies that enjoy positive expectations but are not highly correlated can improve long-term results (not to mention mental health). While mechanical, objective strategies are best for taking the emotion out of investing, it can also be beneficial to trust your own instinctswith a limited portion of capital. Introducing the 30-30-30-10 Strategy.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 34% Dumb Money Confidence: 73%

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Bonds Crude Oil

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Research

The 30-30-30-10 Investment Strategy By Jay Kaeppel BOTTOM LINE No investment strategy works all the time. Combining strategies that enjoy positive expectations but are not highly correlated can improve long-term results (not to mention mental health). While mechanical, objective strategies are best for taking the emotion out of investing, it can also be beneficial to trust your own instinctswith a limited portion of capital. Introducing the 30-30-30-10 Strategy. FORECAST / TIMEFRAME None

Key points:

• The link below allows you to view a webinar sponsored and hosted by NAAIM (National Association of Active Investment Managers)
• The topic is "How I Invest by Jay Kaeppel: The 30-30-10 Strategy
• The concept involves combining investment strategies into a comprehensive approach

The purpose of the video

The 30-30-30-10 Strategy is an investment allocation method I originally developed strictly for my own use. Over time, a number of individuals I have shared the concept with have stated that they found it helpful in organizing their own approach to investing. Included in this group is Ryan Redfern, President of NAAIM. He invited me to present the concept to NAAIM members via a webinar. The webinar occurred on 2024-05-15, and the link below will take you to the recording via NAAIM.

About the 30-30-30-10 Strategy

Without going into much detail (since the video does that), the 30-30-30-10 Strategy is a concept based on the notion that there is no "one best way" to invest. Over many years of research, I have found many investment approaches that can achieve success over time. However, no one strategy always makes money. The overarching idea behind the strategy is to combine investment approaches that have positive expectations but are not highly correlated. The goal is to achieve consistent profitability while also (hopefully) reducing the fluctuations in an account's equity curve (which will hopefully keep an investor from deviating from their approach).

Link to the 30-30-30-10 Strategy webinar

https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/recording/686325492914059523

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 12% Bullish for Stocks Inverse ETF Volume Short-term Optimism Index (Optix) NYSE Up Volume Ratio NYSE Up Issues Ratio S&P 500 Down Pressure CSFB Fear Barometer Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs) % Showing Optimism: 37% Bearish for Stocks Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread Smart Money Confidence Dumb Money Confidence % Showing Excess Optimism Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix) VIX Rydex Money Market % Rydex Ratio Rydex Bearish Flow Risk Appetite Index SKEW Index AIM (Advisor and Investor Model) Retail Money Market Ratio Options Speculation Index Equity Hedging Index NAAIM Exposure Index AAII Bull Ratio NYSE Available Cash AAII Allocation - Stocks Mutual Fund Cash Level Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average

Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average

Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average

Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average

Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average