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Daily Report : S&P 500 stocks reaching a 21-day high saw a substantial increase

Jason Goepfert
2025-05-13
A TCTM Composite Thrust Model component triggered a new alert as the percentage of stocks reaching a 21-day high surged above 54%. Comparable instances tended to coincide with the early stages of cyclical uptrends, suggesting that the current upward trajectory in the S&P 500 will likely persist.
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S&P 500 stocks reaching a 21-day high saw a substantial increase: A TCTM Composite Thrust Model component triggered a new alert as the percentage of stocks reaching a 21-day high surged above 54%. Comparable instances tended to coincide with the early stages of cyclical uptrends, suggesting that the current upward trajectory in the S&P 500 will likely persist.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 55% Dumb Money Confidence: 68%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

S&P 500 stocks reaching a 21-day high saw a substantial increase

By Dean Christians

BOTTOM LINE
A TCTM Composite Thrust Model component triggered a new alert as the percentage of stocks reaching a 21-day high surged above 54%. Comparable instances tended to coincide with the early stages of cyclical uptrends, suggesting that the current upward trajectory in the S&P 500 will likely persist.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
SPY -- Up, Long-Term

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 12%
Bullish for Stocks
Risk Appetite Index
AAII Bull Ratio
Major Index Combo
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 35%
Bearish for Stocks
NYSE Up Issues Ratio
NYSE Up Volume Ratio
NYSE High/Low Ratio
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
Retail Money Market Ratio
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
Equity Put/Call Ratio
S&P 500 Down Pressure
% Showing Excess Optimism
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
Dumb Money Confidence
SKEW Index
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Options Speculation Index
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
NAAIM Exposure Index
Mutual Fund Cash Level
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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