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Daily Report : TradingEdge Weekly for May 9 - A big push off the lows, record breadth, sector strength

Jason Goepfert
2025-05-09
This week, we saw that stocks have enjoyed a historically strong thrust off the lows, retracing more than 50% of the decline, with strong and persistent breadth. Advance/decline lines for major indices hit record highs, even though consumer confidence continues to crater. Cyclical sectors are dominating relative strength, and others are showing seasonal weakness.
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Headlines

TradingEdge Weekly for May 9 - A big push off the lows, record breadth, sector strength: This week, we saw that stocks have enjoyed a historically strong thrust off the lows, retracing more than 50% of the decline, with strong and persistent breadth. Advance/decline lines for major indices hit record highs, even though consumer confidence continues to crater. Cyclical sectors are dominating relative strength, and others are showing seasonal weakness.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 67% Dumb Money Confidence: 58%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

TradingEdge Weekly for May 9 - A big push off the lows, record breadth, sector strength

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
This week, we saw that stocks have enjoyed a historically strong thrust off the lows, retracing more than 50% of the decline, with strong and persistent breadth. Advance/decline lines for major indices hit record highs, even though consumer confidence continues to crater. Cyclical sectors are dominating relative strength, and others are showing seasonal weakness.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 23%
Bullish for Stocks
Smart Money Confidence
VIX
Rydex Bearish Flow
Rydex Sector Breadth
AAII Bull Ratio
Risk Appetite Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Major Index Combo
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
Equity Hedging Index
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 26%
Bearish for Stocks
NYSE Arms Index
NYSE Up Volume Ratio
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
S&P 500 Down Pressure
SKEW Index
OEX Put/Call Ratio
NAAIM Exposure Index
Retail Money Market Ratio
Options Speculation Index
Mutual Fund Cash Level
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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Risk Disclosure: The information and tools provided are for research and analytical purposes only and are not intended as investment advice. Market analysis involves uncertainty, and outcomes may differ from expectations. Users should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual circumstances before making any financial decisions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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