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Daily Report : TradingEdge Weekly for May 2 - Ebbing volatility, peak panic, bond breadth thrust

Jason Goepfert
2025-05-02
This week, we saw that stocks are settling down after a historically volatile period. That volatility caused investors to rush into Walmart stock as a safe haven. There are signs that panic has peaked. High-yield bonds enjoyed a breadth thrust along with the stock market. For only the 3rd time ever, gold is 100x the price of silver.
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Headlines

TradingEdge Weekly for May 2 - Ebbing volatility, peak panic, bond breadth thrust: This week, we saw that stocks are settling down after a historically volatile period. That volatility caused investors to rush into Walmart stock as a safe haven. There are signs that panic has peaked. High-yield bonds enjoyed a breadth thrust along with the stock market. For only the 3rd time ever, gold is 100x the price of silver.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 77% Dumb Money Confidence: 52%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

TradingEdge Weekly for May 2 - Ebbing volatility, peak panic, bond breadth thrust

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
This week, we saw that stocks are settling down after a historically volatile period. That volatility caused investors to rush into Walmart stock as a safe haven. There are signs that panic has peaked. High-yield bonds enjoyed a breadth thrust along with the stock market. For only the 3rd time ever, gold is 100x the price of silver.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

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% Showing Pessimism: 26%
Bullish for Stocks
VIX
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
Rydex Bearish Flow
Rydex Sector Breadth
Smart Money Confidence
OEX Put/Call Ratio
AAII Bull Ratio
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Risk Appetite Index
Major Index Combo
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
Equity Hedging Index
ROBO Put/Call Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 19%
Bearish for Stocks
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
S&P 500 Down Pressure
SKEW Index
ISE Call/Put Ratio
Retail Money Market Ratio
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
NYSE Available Cash
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Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
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Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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