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Daily Report : TradingEdge Weekly for Apr 25 - Volatility spike, historic thrusts, health care extremes

Jason Goepfert
2025-04-25
This week, we saw that the S&P 500 has crashed when priced in gold and is suffering from persistently poor momentum. A proxy index tracking the VIX is seeing a historic spike. This week saw impressive breadth thrusts. Technology tends to lead out of corrective periods. Health care stocks are heavily oversold while insiders buy. The message from the metals markets.
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Headlines

TradingEdge Weekly for Apr 25 - Volatility spike, historic thrusts, health care extremes: This week, we saw that the S&P 500 has crashed when priced in gold and is suffering from persistently poor momentum. A proxy index tracking the VIX is seeing a historic spike. This week saw impressive breadth thrusts. Technology tends to lead out of corrective periods. Health care stocks are heavily oversold while insiders buy. The message from the metals markets.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 82% Dumb Money Confidence: 46%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

TradingEdge Weekly for Apr 25 - Volatility spike, historic thrusts, health care extremes

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
This week, we saw that the S&P 500 has crashed when priced in gold and is suffering from persistently poor momentum. A proxy index tracking the VIX is seeing a historic spike. This week saw impressive breadth thrusts. Technology tends to lead out of corrective periods. Health care stocks are heavily oversold while insiders buy. The message from the metals markets.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 26%
Bullish for Stocks
Smart Money Confidence
VIX
VIX Term Structure
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
Rydex Bearish Flow
Rydex Sector Breadth
AAII Bull Ratio
Risk Appetite Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Major Index Combo
ROBO Put/Call Ratio
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
Equity Hedging Index
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 21%
Bearish for Stocks
S&P 500 Price Oscillator
NYSE Up Issues Ratio
NYSE Up Volume Ratio
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
S&P 500 Down Pressure
Retail Money Market Ratio
NYSE Available Cash
AAII Allocation - Stocks
Mutual Fund Cash Level
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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Risk Disclosure: The information and tools provided are for research and analytical purposes only and are not intended as investment advice. Market analysis involves uncertainty, and outcomes may differ from expectations. Users should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual circumstances before making any financial decisions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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