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Daily Report : A potential trading opportunity in EFA

Jason Goepfert
2025-03-13
International indexes have significantly outperformed U.S. stocks so far in 2025. Whether or not this is sustainable remains to be seen. Regardless of the long-term outlook, a potential short-term opportunity is at hand.
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Headlines

A potential trading opportunity in EFA: International indexes have significantly outperformed U.S. stocks so far in 2025. Whether or not this is sustainable remains to be seen. Regardless of the long-term outlook, a potential short-term opportunity is at hand.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 73% Dumb Money Confidence: 29%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

A potential trading opportunity in EFA

By Jay Kaeppel

BOTTOM LINE
International indexes have significantly outperformed U.S. stocks so far in 2025. Whether or not this is sustainable remains to be seen. Regardless of the long-term outlook, a potential short-term opportunity is at hand.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

Click here to view on the site (% Extremes and "Excess" tabs on the dashboard).
% Showing Pessimism: 28%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
SPY Liquidity Premium
NYSE High/Low Ratio
OEX Open Interest Ratio
Risk Appetite Index
Rydex Sector Breadth
Smart Money Confidence
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
VIX
VIX Term Structure
Dumb Money Confidence
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
AAII Bull Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 18%
Bearish for Stocks
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
S&P 500 Down Pressure
Retail Money Market Ratio
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
NAAIM Exposure Index
AAII Allocation - Stocks
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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Risk Disclosure: The information and tools provided are for research and analytical purposes only and are not intended as investment advice. Market analysis involves uncertainty, and outcomes may differ from expectations. Users should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual circumstances before making any financial decisions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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