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Daily Report : A big turn of events for the Nasdaq

Jason Goepfert
2025-03-11
The Nasdaq Composite suffered a large loss on Monday, its most significant in over a year, and to a multi-month low. Even so, the index still has a rising 200-day moving average. Similar shake-outs often preceded high short-term volatility. Other indexes, like the S&P 500 and defensive-oriented stocks, showed excellent long-term returns after these selling bouts.
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Headlines

A big turn of events for the Nasdaq: The Nasdaq Composite suffered a large loss on Monday, its most significant in over a year, and to a multi-month low. Even so, the index still has a rising 200-day moving average. Similar shake-outs often preceded high short-term volatility. Other indexes, like the S&P 500 and defensive-oriented stocks, showed excellent long-term returns after these selling bouts.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 69% Dumb Money Confidence: 32%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

A big turn of events for the Nasdaq

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
The Nasdaq Composite suffered a large loss on Monday, its most significant in over a year, and to a multi-month low. Even so, the index still has a rising 200-day moving average. Similar shake-outs often preceded high short-term volatility. Other indexes, like the S&P 500 and defensive-oriented stocks, showed excellent long-term returns after these selling bouts.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 40%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
S&P 500 Price Oscillator
SPY Liquidity Premium
NYSE Up Issues Ratio
NYSE Up Volume Ratio
NYSE High/Low Ratio
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
OEX Open Interest Ratio
Smart Money Confidence
S&P 500 Down Pressure
% Showing Excess Pessimism
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
VIX
VIX Term Structure
Dumb Money Confidence
Stock/Bond Ratio
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Risk Appetite Index
AAII Bull Ratio
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 19%
Bearish for Stocks
Retail Money Market Ratio
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
SKEW Index
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
NAAIM Exposure Index
AAII Allocation - Stocks
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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