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Daily Report : Staples continue to serve as a haven

Jason Goepfert
2025-03-10
A sudden and relatively severe sentiment shift has pushed consumer staples stocks to multi-month highs relative to consumer discretionary. This comes after the ratio between them had been mired at a multi-year low. These shifts have tended to precede poor returns for the broad market, but good ones for staples stocks.
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Headlines

Staples continue to serve as a haven: A sudden and relatively severe sentiment shift has pushed consumer staples stocks to multi-month highs relative to consumer discretionary. This comes after the ratio between them had been mired at a multi-year low. These shifts have tended to precede poor returns for the broad market, but good ones for staples stocks.

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Research

Staples continue to serve as a haven

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
A sudden and relatively severe sentiment shift has pushed consumer staples stocks to multi-month highs relative to consumer discretionary. This comes after the ratio between them had been mired at a multi-year low. These shifts have tended to precede poor returns for the broad market, but good ones for staples stocks.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

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% Showing Pessimism: 18%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
Risk Appetite Index
Smart Money Confidence
VIX
VIX Term Structure
AAII Bull Ratio
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 26%
Bearish for Stocks
NYSE Arms Index
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
S&P 500 Down Pressure
SKEW Index
OEX Put/Call Ratio
NAAIM Exposure Index
Retail Money Market Ratio
AAII Allocation - Stocks
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level
NYSE Available Cash

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