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Daily Report : Declining participation in cyclical sector stocks

by Sentimentrader
2026-02-25
Market breadth is narrowing, with <60% of stocks in key cyclical sectors above their 50-day average. This divergence historically signals medium-term volatility, though long-term indicators suggest a corrective phase.
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Headlines

Declining participation in cyclical sector stocks: Market breadth is narrowing, with <60% of stocks in key cyclical sectors above their 50-day average. This divergence historically signals medium-term volatility, though long-term indicators suggest a corrective phase.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 56% Dumb Money Confidence: 57%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

Declining participation in cyclical sector stocks

By by Sentimentrader

BOTTOM LINE
Market breadth is narrowing, with <60% of stocks in key cyclical sectors above their 50-day average. This divergence historically signals medium-term volatility, though long-term indicators suggest a corrective phase.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

Click here to view the Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview on the site.

Indicators at Extremes

Click here to view on the site (% Extremes and "Excess" tabs on the dashboard).
% Showing Pessimism: 16%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
Rydex Bearish Flow
OEX Open Interest Ratio
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Equity Put/Call Ratio De-Trended
ROBO Put/Call Ratio
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 21%
Bearish for Stocks
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
S&P 500 Down Pressure
SKEW Index
Retail Money Market Ratio
NAAIM Exposure Index
NYSE Available Cash
AAII Allocation - Stocks
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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