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Daily Report : The Russell 2000 small-cap index formed a top pattern

Jason Goepfert
2025-02-25
The Russell 2000 completed a topping pattern when it reversed from a 2-year high to a 5-month low but not a 12-month low. Comparable breakdowns saw the small-cap index struggle in the near term. Over longer timeframes, the outlook showed uninspiring results.
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Headlines

The Russell 2000 small-cap index formed a top pattern: The Russell 2000 completed a topping pattern when it reversed from a 2-year high to a 5-month low but not a 12-month low. Comparable breakdowns saw the small-cap index struggle in the near term. Over longer timeframes, the outlook showed uninspiring results.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 51% Dumb Money Confidence: 52%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

The Russell 2000 small-cap index formed a top pattern

By Dean Christians

BOTTOM LINE
The Russell 2000 completed a topping pattern when it reversed from a 2-year high to a 5-month low but not a 12-month low. Comparable breakdowns saw the small-cap index struggle in the near term. Over longer timeframes, the outlook showed uninspiring results.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 11%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
S&P 500 Down Pressure
VIX Term Structure
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 30%
Bearish for Stocks
SPY Liquidity Premium
Retail Money Market Ratio
Rydex Bearish Flow
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
% Showing Excess Optimism
SKEW Index
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Options Speculation Index
LOBO Put/Call Ratio
ROBO Put/Call Ratio
Equity Hedging Index
NAAIM Exposure Index
AAII Allocation - Stocks
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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