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Daily Report : TradingEdge Weekly for Feb 14 - Consolidating near highs, unemployment trends, commodity and China breakouts

Jason Goepfert
2025-02-14
This week, we saw that stocks have been consolidating near a high. The S&P 500 hasn't been especially volatile, though its range has increased since President Trump's inauguration versus where it was after the election. Unemployment trends aren't favorable for stocks right now, and homebuilders have been tumbling. Commodities and Chinese stocks have been doing well, however.
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TradingEdge Weekly for Feb 14 - Consolidating near highs, unemployment trends, commodity and China breakouts: This week, we saw that stocks have been consolidating near a high. The S&P 500 hasn't been especially volatile, though its range has increased since President Trump's inauguration versus where it was after the election. Unemployment trends aren't favorable for stocks right now, and homebuilders have been tumbling. Commodities and Chinese stocks have been doing well, however.

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Research

TradingEdge Weekly for Feb 14 - Consolidating near highs, unemployment trends, commodity and China breakouts

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
This week, we saw that stocks have been consolidating near a high. The S&P 500 hasn't been especially volatile, though its range has increased since President Trump's inauguration versus where it was after the election. Unemployment trends aren't favorable for stocks right now, and homebuilders have been tumbling. Commodities and Chinese stocks have been doing well, however.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

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% Showing Pessimism: 9%
Bullish for Stocks
Equity Put/Call Ratio
AAII Bull Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
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% Showing Optimism: 39%
Bearish for Stocks
VIX Term Structure
SPY Liquidity Premium
NYSE Up Issues Ratio
NYSE Up Volume Ratio
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
S&P 500 Price Oscillator
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ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
S&P 500 Down Pressure
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% Showing Excess Optimism
ISE Call/Put Ratio
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