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Daily Report : Macro Index Expands

by Sentimentrader
2026-02-04
The Macro Index Model (MIM) crossed 0.7, confirming economic resilience. Historically, this shift favors the S&P 500 but suggests headwinds for Gold and the USD, though geopolitical factors may decouple metals.
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Headlines

Macro Index Expands: The Macro Index Model (MIM) crossed 0.7, confirming economic resilience. Historically, this shift favors the S&P 500 but suggests headwinds for Gold and the USD, though geopolitical factors may decouple metals.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 38% Dumb Money Confidence: 70%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

Macro Index Expands

By by Sentimentrader

BOTTOM LINE
The Macro Index Model (MIM) crossed 0.7, confirming economic resilience. Historically, this shift favors the S&P 500 but suggests headwinds for Gold and the USD, though geopolitical factors may decouple metals.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
SPY -- Up, Short-Term

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

Click here to view on the site (% Extremes and "Excess" tabs on the dashboard).
% Showing Pessimism: 11%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
S&P 500 Price Oscillator
Rydex Bearish Flow
S&P 500 Down Pressure
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 26%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
Dumb Money Confidence
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
SKEW Index
Retail Money Market Ratio
LOBO Put/Call Ratio
AAII Allocation - Stocks
Options Speculation Index
NAAIM Exposure Index
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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