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Daily Report : TradingEdge Weekly for Jan 30 - Risk-on signals, Natural gas volatility, Commodities seasonality, Bond market sentiment, Metals market extremes

by Sentimentrader
2026-01-30
Natural Gas sentiment hits extreme optimism, historically a sell signal. Meanwhile, commodities enter a strong seasonal window, and weight of evidence favors stocks despite short-term caution.
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TradingEdge Weekly for Jan 30 - Risk-on signals, Natural gas volatility, Commodities seasonality, Bond market sentiment, Metals market extremes: Natural Gas sentiment hits extreme optimism, historically a sell signal. Meanwhile, commodities enter a strong seasonal window, and weight of evidence favors stocks despite short-term caution.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 38% Dumb Money Confidence: 72%

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Stocks Medium-Term

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Agriculture

Research

TradingEdge Weekly for Jan 30 - Risk-on signals, Natural gas volatility, Commodities seasonality, Bond market sentiment, Metals market extremes

By by Sentimentrader

BOTTOM LINE
Natural Gas sentiment hits extreme optimism, historically a sell signal. Meanwhile, commodities enter a strong seasonal window, and weight of evidence favors stocks despite short-term caution.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 11%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
VIX Term Structure
OEX Open Interest Ratio
Rydex Bearish Flow
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 30%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
Dumb Money Confidence
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
% Showing Excess Optimism
NYSE High/Low Ratio
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
SKEW Index
NAAIM Exposure Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Retail Money Market Ratio
Options Speculation Index
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
NYSE Available Cash
Mutual Fund Cash Level
AAII Allocation - Stocks

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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