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Daily Report : Crude oil experienced an almost unprecedented drop over the past ten sessions

Jason Goepfert
2025-01-30
For only the 12th time since 1985, crude oil futures declined in 8 of the last 10 sessions from a 3-month high. Comparable price patterns preceded a rally in the commodity 91% of the time over the subsequent three months.
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Headlines

Crude oil experienced an almost unprecedented drop over the past ten sessions: For only the 12th time since 1985, crude oil futures declined in 8 of the last 10 sessions from a 3-month high. Comparable price patterns preceded a rally in the commodity 91% of the time over the subsequent three months.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 31% Dumb Money Confidence: 64%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

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Agriculture

Research

Crude oil experienced an almost unprecedented drop over the past ten sessions

By Dean Christians

BOTTOM LINE
For only the 12th time since 1985, crude oil futures declined in 8 of the last 10 sessions from a 3-month high. Comparable price patterns preceded a rally in the commodity 91% of the time over the subsequent three months.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
USO -- Up, Medium-Term

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% Showing Pessimism: 9%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
S&P 500 Down Pressure
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 39%
Bearish for Stocks
NYSE Arms Index
NYSE High/Low Ratio
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
Rydex Bearish Flow
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
Smart Money Confidence
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
% Showing Excess Optimism
ISE Call/Put Ratio
Dumb Money Confidence
SKEW Index
Retail Money Market Ratio
Options Speculation Index
LOBO Put/Call Ratio
Equity Hedging Index
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
NAAIM Exposure Index
AAII Allocation - Stocks
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

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