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Daily Report : Gas Markets on Thin Ice

by Sentimentrader
2026-01-26
Natural gas prices surged 70% on arctic weather, pushing UNG sentiment to extreme optimism. Historically, Optix readings above 95% have been reliable sell signals, leading to negative returns across most timeframes.
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Gas Markets on Thin Ice: Natural gas prices surged 70% on arctic weather, pushing UNG sentiment to extreme optimism. Historically, Optix readings above 95% have been reliable sell signals, leading to negative returns across most timeframes.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 35% Dumb Money Confidence: 75%

Risk Levels

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Stocks Medium-Term

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Crude Oil

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Agriculture

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Gas Markets on Thin Ice

By by Sentimentrader

BOTTOM LINE
Natural gas prices surged 70% on arctic weather, pushing UNG sentiment to extreme optimism. Historically, Optix readings above 95% have been reliable sell signals, leading to negative returns across most timeframes.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
UNG -- Down, Medium-Term

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 5%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 39%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
Smart Money Confidence
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
Dumb Money Confidence
% Showing Excess Pessimism
% Showing Excess Optimism
NYSE High/Low Ratio
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
OEX Put/Call Ratio
VIX Term Structure
Options Speculation Index
SKEW Index
Risk Appetite Index
NAAIM Exposure Index
Retail Money Market Ratio
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
NYSE Available Cash
AAII Allocation - Stocks
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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