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Daily Report : Small caps fall into a correction

Jason Goepfert
2025-01-13
The Russell 2000 was the toast of the town after the presidential election, but that quickly soured. The small cap index is already back into correction territory, which tends to precede weak returns. One hopeful sign for the bulls is that more than 40% of small cap stocks remain above their 200-day averages, which has tended to limit the worst losses.
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Headlines

Small caps fall into a correction: The Russell 2000 was the toast of the town after the presidential election, but that quickly soured. The small cap index is already back into correction territory, which tends to precede weak returns. One hopeful sign for the bulls is that more than 40% of small cap stocks remain above their 200-day averages, which has tended to limit the worst losses.

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Smart Money Confidence: 48% Dumb Money Confidence: 34%

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Research

Small caps fall into a correction

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
The Russell 2000 was the toast of the town after the presidential election, but that quickly soured. The small cap index is already back into correction territory, which tends to precede weak returns. One hopeful sign for the bulls is that more than 40% of small cap stocks remain above their 200-day averages, which has tended to limit the worst losses.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 9%
Bullish for Stocks
Rydex Bearish Flow
AAII Bull Ratio
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 33%
Bearish for Stocks
% Showing Excess Optimism
Rydex Money Market %
Rydex Ratio
Retail Money Market Ratio
NYSE High/Low Ratio
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
Insider Buy/Sell Seasonally Adj
S&P 500 Down Pressure
Options Speculation Index
SKEW Index
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
Equity Put/Call Ratio
ISE Call/Put Ratio
Total Put/Call Ratio
NAAIM Exposure Index
AAII Allocation - Stocks
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

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Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
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Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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