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Daily Report : An opportunity may finally be forming in beaten down materials

Jason Goepfert
2025-01-09
The Materials sector has been a significant laggard regarding absolute and relative performance. Likewise, seasonality remains weak for a bit longer. That said, many oversold signals suggest a potential contrarian play may be forming. Details herein.
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Headlines

An opportunity may finally be forming in beaten down materials: The Materials sector has been a significant laggard regarding absolute and relative performance. Likewise, seasonality remains weak for a bit longer. That said, many oversold signals suggest a potential contrarian play may be forming. Details herein.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 53% Dumb Money Confidence: 42%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

An opportunity may finally be forming in beaten down materials

By Jay Kaeppel

BOTTOM LINE
The Materials sector has been a significant laggard regarding absolute and relative performance. Likewise, seasonality remains weak for a bit longer. That said, many oversold signals suggest a potential contrarian play may be forming. Details herein.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 9%
Bullish for Stocks
SPY Liquidity Premium
NYSE High/Low Ratio
Rydex Bearish Flow
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 23%
Bearish for Stocks
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
SKEW Index
Retail Money Market Ratio
Options Speculation Index
LOBO Put/Call Ratio
AAII Allocation - Stocks
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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Risk Disclosure: The information and tools provided are for research and analytical purposes only and are not intended as investment advice. Market analysis involves uncertainty, and outcomes may differ from expectations. Users should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual circumstances before making any financial decisions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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