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Daily Report : Current Status of Market Sentiment Indicators for Materials Sector

by Sentimentrader
2026-01-08
When we see extreme optimism in XLB (e.g., high new highs, most stocks above MAs), it historically brings poor short-term returns. But insider reluctance to sell provides long-term support, easing potential near-term pullbacks.
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Headlines

Current Status of Market Sentiment Indicators for Materials Sector: When we see extreme optimism in XLB (e.g., high new highs, most stocks above MAs), it historically brings poor short-term returns. But insider reluctance to sell provides long-term support, easing potential near-term pullbacks.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 33% Dumb Money Confidence: 70%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

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Agriculture

Research

Current Status of Market Sentiment Indicators for Materials Sector

By by Sentimentrader

BOTTOM LINE
When we see extreme optimism in XLB (e.g., high new highs, most stocks above MAs), it historically brings poor short-term returns. But insider reluctance to sell provides long-term support, easing potential near-term pullbacks.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
XLB -- Flat, Short-Term

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

Click here to view on the site (% Extremes and "Excess" tabs on the dashboard).
% Showing Pessimism: 11%
Bullish for Stocks
Inverse ETF Volume
S&P 500 Down Pressure
OEX Open Interest Ratio
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 42%
Bearish for Stocks
Smart Money / Dumb Money Confidence Spread
Smart Money Confidence
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
VIX Term Structure
Dumb Money Confidence
Intermediate Term Optimism Index (Optix)
% Showing Excess Optimism
NYSE High/Low Ratio
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
ISE Call/Put Ratio
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
SKEW Index
AIM (Advisor and Investor Model)
Risk Appetite Index
Retail Money Market Ratio
LOBO Put/Call Ratio
Options Speculation Index
AAII Bull Ratio
NAAIM Exposure Index
NYSE Available Cash
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level
AAII Allocation - Stocks

Phase Table

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Ranks

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Sentiment Around The World

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Optimism Index Thumbnails

Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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