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Daily Report : Why the average S&P 500 stock deserves a second look

Jason Goepfert
2025-01-06
The average S&P 500 stock has not had a good time lately. In December, the equal-weight S&P 500 index underperformed the cap-weight version of the index by nearly -4%, one of the worst relative months since 1957. Over the past two weeks, no more than 1% of S&P stocks have hit a new high, a rare "not winning" streak during uptrends.
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Headlines

Why the average S&P 500 stock deserves a second look: The average S&P 500 stock has not had a good time lately. In December, the equal-weight S&P 500 index underperformed the cap-weight version of the index by nearly -4%, one of the worst relative months since 1957. Over the past two weeks, no more than 1% of S&P stocks have hit a new high, a rare "not winning" streak during uptrends.

Smart / Dumb Money Confidence

Smart Money Confidence: 53% Dumb Money Confidence: 43%

Risk Levels

Stocks Short-Term

Stocks Medium-Term

Bonds

Crude Oil

Gold

Agriculture

Research

Why the average S&P 500 stock deserves a second look

By Jason Goepfert

BOTTOM LINE
The average S&P 500 stock has not had a good time lately. In December, the equal-weight S&P 500 index underperformed the cap-weight version of the index by nearly -4%, one of the worst relative months since 1957. Over the past two weeks, no more than 1% of S&P stocks have hit a new high, a rare "not winning" streak during uptrends.

FORECAST / TIMEFRAME
None

Sentiment Risk On / Risk Off Overview

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Indicators at Extremes

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% Showing Pessimism: 9%
Bullish for Stocks
SPY Liquidity Premium
Rydex Sector Breadth
OEX Put/Call Ratio
Mutual Fund Flow (no ETFs)
CSFB Fear Barometer
% Showing Optimism: 33%
Bearish for Stocks
NYSE Up Issues Ratio
Short-term Optimism Index (Optix)
S&P 500 Price Oscillator
Equity Put/Call Ratio
Rydex Ratio
Rydex Money Market %
ISE Equity Call/Put Ratio
S&P 500 Down Pressure
% Showing Excess Optimism
ISE Call/Put Ratio
SKEW Index
Options Speculation Index
LOBO Put/Call Ratio
AAII Allocation - Stocks
Retail Money Market Ratio
Equity / Money Market Asset Ratio
Mutual Fund Cash Level
NYSE Available Cash

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Sector ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Country ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Bond ETF's - 10-Day Moving Average
Currency ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
Commodity ETF's - 5-Day Moving Average
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Risk Disclosure: The information and tools provided are for research and analytical purposes only and are not intended as investment advice. Market analysis involves uncertainty, and outcomes may differ from expectations. Users should conduct their own due diligence and consider their individual circumstances before making any financial decisions. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

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