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Bitcoin blastoff

Jason Goepfert
2020-12-17

The primary crypto has soared again today. Even after what's been a volatile session, it's up well over 10% on the day and at an all-time high.

Other times it rallied at least 10% to a 1-year high, it tended to add to its gains short-term but had some medium- to long-term losses. None of this will matter to the HODL crowd, which seems to have found an ever-louder voice lately.

That risk/reward is absurd, highlighting just how volatile this thing can be. It's interesting to note the percentage of time that bitcoin showed a big drop as opposed to a big rise over the next 3-12 months.

If we look at similar moves but require at least a 3-year high, then both tendencies were exacerbated (short-term follow-through, longer-term struggles).

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