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Betting against bonds

Jason Goepfert
2021-01-13

As aggressively as traders have been buying call options on stocks, traders on 10-year Treasuries are pressing their bearish bets. On Tuesday, more than 800,000 put options were traded for only the 5th time in history. After the other four, funds like TLT tended to see only limited losses, and averaged a return of +13.1% over the next 6 months. It's a single data point, with a tiny sample size, but it's a little more evidence that sentiment may have shifted a bit too much one way. The dates were 2016-11-10, 2018-10-04, 2019-09-13, and 2019-11-07.

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