Posts tagged as Correlations


When Gold Meets Japan (Part II)

2021-05-10 | Jay Kaeppel


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One of the Dow's Best Starts in 125 Years

2021-05-10 | Jason Goepfert


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When Gold Meets Japan (Part I)

2021-05-07 | Jay Kaeppel


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Commodities Have Done This 9 Other Times Since 1933

2021-05-07 | Jason Goepfert


Commodities have done very well so far in 2021, and there have been 9 other years since 1933 with similar starts to a year.

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This year is just like...1963?

2021-05-05 | Jason Goepfert


With a steadily rising market, 2021 is shaping up to be like 2013 and 2017, but there have been other years with an even closer analog.

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This year is just like...

2021-05-04 | Jason Goepfert


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Using Metals to Trade Bonds

2021-04-27 | Jay Kaeppel


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A Useful Clue Regarding When to Own Gold

2021-04-20 | Jay Kaeppel


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Consumer Staples vs. Consumer Discretionary and the Inflation Factor

2021-04-16 | Jay Kaeppel


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What's scaring investors right now

2021-03-17 | Jason Goepfert


The 1-month correlation between the VIX and 10-year yields is the highest it's been in years.

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When rising yields are driving volatility

2021-03-16 | Jason Goepfert


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What this indicator is saying about investors' complacency

2021-02-05 | Jason Goepfert


When investors are comfortable, they trade stocks based on their own merits, so correlations among stocks drop. Like it has lately.

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Investors get comfortable trading stocks on their own merits

2021-02-04 | Jason Goepfert


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A Sell Signal in the Cumulative Advance-Decline Line for the Last Hour of Trading

2021-02-01 | Dean Christians


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Commodities Rising?

2021-01-07 | Jay Kaeppel


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2020 was just like...

2021-01-05 | Jason Goepfert


The year 2020 was unlike any other in many respects, but in terms of the price path during the year, there were 20 years that had a high correlation.

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Investors extrapolate big gains, with high Confidence

2021-01-04 | Jason Goepfert


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Near record uptrends as rally hits the 9-month mark

2020-12-18 | Jason Goepfert


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Even as stocks become more volatile, they're less correlated

2020-11-17 | Jason Goepfert


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Broader market is shaking off the influence of Big Tech

2020-09-22 | Jason Goepfert


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Nasdaq's waning momentum clarifies its analogs

2020-09-11 | Jason Goepfert


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Metals and bonds give different picture as excess liquidity spikes

2020-09-10 | Jason Goepfert


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If the Nasdaq is peaking, it should look like this

2020-09-04 | Jason Goepfert


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The S&P 500 is becoming uncorrelated with its own members

2020-09-03 | Jason Goepfert


The S&P 500 is being driven by relatively few stocks, enough so that over the past month, it is becoming uncorrelated to its own Advance/Decline Line.

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The S&P 500 is uncorrelated with...itself

2020-09-02 | Jason Goepfert


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Gold's price path has looked like this about a dozen times before

2020-08-19 | Jason Goepfert


The past 100 days in gold have seen a remarkable run, but there have been about a dozen times that look very similar. Same with its correlation to tech stocks.

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Gold's analogs and its tight correlation with tech stocks

2020-08-18 | Jason Goepfert


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The last 100 days are the most like...1970?

2020-08-17 | Jason Goepfert


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Stocks have uncoupled from the dollar

2020-06-26 | Jason Goepfert


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Australian dollar vs. U.S. equities

2020-05-20 | Troy Bombardia


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Let's assume the worst

2020-03-12 | Jason Goepfert


If we assume the worst, that we're in a bear market and recession, we can see the average path. Fewer than 15% of small caps are in uptrends.

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Dollar momentum isn't stopping gold

2020-02-20 | Jason Goepfert


The correlation between gold and the dollar is breaking down. The Relative Strength Index for the dollar has now pushed into extreme territory.

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Options traders spend billions betting that this rally won't end

2020-02-19 | Jason Goepfert


Each of the past two weeks, options traders have spent at least $7 billion in bets on a rally. The Nasdaq's correlation to 1999 isn't exclusive.

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5 Trades Show Flight-To-Safety

2019-10-25 | Jason Goepfert


This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.A concerted flight to safetyLooking at a handful of different flight-to-safety trades, it’s evident that there has been a lot of risk-off positioning in ...

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What I'm looking at - correlations, Fidelity Funds Breadth, KBW Bank Index, SPY Liquidity Premium, Value

2019-10-23 | Troy Bombardia


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Junk Bond's Warning Sign

2019-10-15 | Jason Goepfert


This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.Bond market warningStocks have held up well lately, more or less, but high-yield (junk) bonds are under-performing relative to other parts of the corporate ...

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Consumers haven't been this depressed in 8 years

2019-09-30 | Jason Goepfert


This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.Consumers’ concernsThis month, U.S. consumers decided that the economy was headed for a rough patch and stocks were likely to follow. To the greatest extent ...

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What I'm looking at - stocks vs. politics, nonstop utilities surge, global money supply, Bitcoin's crash

2019-09-27 | Troy Bombardia


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Stocks and the dollar are "joined at the pip"

2019-09-26 | Jason Goepfert


This is an abridged version of our recent reports and notes. For immediate access with no obligation, sign up for a 30-day free trial now.Joined at the pipThere usually isn’t much of a correlation between movement in stocks and the dollar. As much as investors want to assign a narrative linking ...

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Gold/Dollar correlation turns positive

2019-09-17 | Jason Goepfert


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Tuesday Color - Big Managers Get Bullish, Gold/Dollar Correlation Spike, Repo Rate, Volatility Premium

2019-09-17 | Jason Goepfert


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