Long term trend

Troy Bombardia
2020-03-25
The speed of the recent stock market crash was so fast that many traditional long term trend following indicators are only starting to become bearish now.

The MSCI All Country Index finally made a "death cross". This bearish signal was more useful in past bear markets, which usually started off at a slower pace:

While selling on a death cross didn't beat buy and hold in the past, it did allow you to avoid some major bear markets:

But since the death cross came after the stock market crashed, I don't think it'll be very useful this time. The stock market's crash happened so quickly and the death cross came too late to protect investors. I wouldn't consider this to be a bearish factor for stocks.

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