SentimenTrader Blog - Page 2


2020-03-30 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The S&P 500, along with some sectors and individual stocks, has triggered a Death Cross sell signal. While it did precede some weak short-term returns, it was not a good signal longer-term.

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2020-03-30 | Jason Goepfert | Lite

A Goldman Sachs model estimating the likelihood of a further 20% decline is on track to plunge. Economic surprises have made a historic drop.

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2020-03-28 | Jason Goepfert | Premium

This is a recap of the most notable research published during the week. Shares saw a historic plunge, creating some value. With a compressed bout of stimulus, buyers returned and triggered massive thrusts to the upside.

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2020-03-28 | Troy Bombardia | Basic

A classic 60/40 portfolio has been hammered this month since both stocks and bonds have fallen. This portfolio saw one of the largest 1 month drops over the past 30 years.

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2020-03-28 | Troy Bombardia | Premium

Oil's crash over the past 5 weeks is historic. Depending on how you look at it, this is one of the most extreme oil crashes in history.

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2020-03-28 | Troy Bombardia | Basic



2020-03-28 | Troy Bombardia | Premium

Initial Claims was shocking this week, to say the least. With March almost over, economic data released next month will most likely be overwhelmingly negative.

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2020-03-27 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The S&P 500 enjoyed a large weekly reversal from a low, one of the largest in 20 years. There was also a near record number of selling climaxes among stocks in the index.; In the fall of 2018, the Bear Market Probability Model suggested an 80% chance of a bear market ahead, one of the highest readings since 1950. Based on the latest estimates, that could now plunge to below 40%.

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2020-03-27 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The S&P 500 enjoyed a large weekly reversal from a low, one of the largest in 20 years. There was also a near record number of selling climaxes among stocks in the index.

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2020-03-27 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

In the fall of 2018, the Bear Market Probability Model suggested an 80% chance of a bear market ahead, one of the highest readings since 1950. Based on the latest estimates, that could now plunge to below 40%.

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