SentimenTrader Blog - Page 2


2020-11-19 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The S&P 500 is up around 10% through late November, which has tended to lead to further gains that build on momentum and seasonality. When the Nasdaq Composite gains 20% or more through this late in the year, it has also tended to keep following through.; Fund managers in a monthly Bank of America survey have turned highly optimistic on the prospect for stocks, but it has been a poor contrary indicator. Likewise, they're betting on small-caps and a steeper yield curve.

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2020-11-19 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

The S&P 500 is up around 10% through late November, which has tended to lead to further gains that build on momentum and seasonality. When the Nasdaq Composite gains 20% or more through this late in the year, it has also tended to keep following through.

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2020-11-19 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Fund managers in a monthly Bank of America survey have turned highly optimistic on the prospect for stocks, but it has been a poor contrary indicator. Likewise, they're betting on small-caps and a steeper yield curve.

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2020-11-19 | Jason Goepfert | Lite

The S&P 500 index will soon include Tesla, which will be by far the largest company ever added to the index at the time of inclusion.

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2020-11-19 | Troy Bombardia | Premium

U.S. economic conditions continue to improve (this may change depending on how the pandemic plays out). Past-looking data series are still trending upwards.

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2020-11-18 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

When Standard & Poor's feels the pressure to add an ultra-large stock to the index, it has typically come after a rally, and forward returns were below average. For the large stocks themselves, once they were actually added to the index, they had a tendency to see lower prices over the next few months.

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2020-11-18 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

When Standard & Poor's feels the pressure to add an ultra-large stock to the index, it has typically come after a rally, and forward returns were below average. For the large stocks themselves, once they were actually added to the index, they had a tendency to see lower prices over the next few months.

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2020-11-18 | Jason Goepfert | Lite

The 10-day volatility of the average stock in the S&P 500 has jumped, but the 10-day correlation among them has plunged, an extremely unusual setup.

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2020-11-17 | Troy Bombardia | Premium

The stock market has mostly only gone in 1 direction since March: up. Since the various pullbacks along the way were very shallow, extremely optimistic sentiment never had a chance to properly wash out.

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2020-11-17 | Jason Goepfert | Basic

Over the past 10 days, the average stock in the S&P 500 has undergone increased volatility. At the same time, the correlation among stocks in the index has declined. This is highly unusual. Likely due to a rotation into smaller stocks, similar behavior has led to further gains in smaller stocks.; The energy sector is trying to change it long-term trend, with the S&P 500 Energy index closing in on its 200-day average for the first time in almost a year, and after suffering its worst-ever spread against that average.

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