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Smart / Dumb Money Confidence        

 

The Smart Money is 38% confident in a rally.

The Dumb Money is 67% confident in a rally.

 

 

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Sentiment Report For Friday

02/03/12 7:30 PM EST

 

There is very little hedging going on in the equity market.  An index tracking several such measures is near the lowest level in a decade.  More »

 

                    

                                            

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Sentiment Report For Thursday

 

Sentiment Report For Wednesday

 

Sentiment Report For Tuesday

 

 

 

 

Equity Market Indicators

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Most of our indicator groups are showing more bearish (for the market) than bullish individual indicators.  We don't have a large number of bearish extremes, but as of January 17th we have 0% at a bullish (for the market) extreme.  That's unusual, and often precedes a market pullback...but it would be more of a probability if we had more than 30% of our indicators at a bearish extreme at the same time.

 

More history:   Short-term Score     Long-term Score    Indicators At Extremes

Bearish for equities 

* New extreme

 

STEM.MR Model - NDX

Price Oscillator - S&P

Intraday Cumulative Tick - NASDAQ

Up Volume Ratio - NYSE

Up Volume Ratio - NASDAQ

Down Pressure - S&P

Daily Cumulative Tick - NASDAQ

Fidelity Sector Breath

Put/Call Ratio - Equity Options Only

Rydex % of Sectors with Assets > 50 Day Avg

Down Pressure - NDX

Rydex Bull Fund Asset Flow

Put/Call Ratio - Total of All Options

NH/NL Ratio - NASDAQ

Composite Model

Put/Call Ratio - Equity De-Trended

Put/Call Ratio - Equity Moving Averages

Put/Call Ratio - Total of Moving Averages

Liquidity Premiun - SPY

NH/NL Ratio - NYSE

Up Issues Ratio - NYSE

Up Issues Ratio - NASDAQ

VIX Transform

Sentiment Survey - AAII

STEM Model

Short-term Indicator Score

Intermediate-term Indicator Score

Smart Money Confidence

Dumb Money Confidence

Indicators At Extremes

AIM Model

 

 


Bullish for equities 

* New extreme

 

Put/Call Ratio - OEX Options Only

 

 

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Stock and Sector Sentiment

Most of the broad sectors are showing at least neutral sentiment, with a few well into overbought territory, especially a couple of previously beaten-down ones like Financials and Housing.  We typically see a pullback after those sectors reach these levels.

For more background on the Scores, please click here.

 

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 Index Seasonality

 

February 6 is trading day #4 of the month

 

Click month to view:  Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug  Sep  Oct  Nov  Dec

 

 

Click month to view:  Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug  Sep  Oct  Nov  Dec

 

 

Click month to view:  Jan  Feb  Mar  Apr  May  Jun  Jul  Aug  Sep  Oct  Nov  Dec

 

 

Find more equity-market seasonality data »

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