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Below is a list of retired research studies that we posted to the site.  They were triggered on the date indicated, and have since dropped off.

This is by no means an exhaustive list of all research available on the site.  All of our research is contained in past commentaries, so you may also want to use the search function if you are looking for something in particular, or browse through the comment archives.

Click here for the Daily Overview to see a list of all active studies (or just view the most recent Morning Report).

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Accuracy key:  5 stars () is most accurate, 0 stars () is least accurate.

SHORT-TERM

DATE STUDY FORECAST OUTCOME ACCURACY
11/01/11 VIX "double jumps" UP UP 5
09/22/11 Extremely low TICK figures UP 2
09/22/11 Worst 2-day loss in 2 years UP 2
09/16/11 Four straight up days DOWN DOWN 3
09/16/11 Three TICK closes > 650 DOWN DOWN 3
05/02/11 Questionable price/volume pattern DOWN DOWN 4
04/13/11 Multiple down days into a Tuesday UP UP 4
04/01/11 April beginning-of-month seasonality UP 3
03/31/11 Surge in optimism among Rydex traders DOWN 2
03/24/11 Huge spike in the OEX put/call ratio DOWN 3
03/23/11 Three straight 1% gaps up DOWN UP 2
03/21/11 Usually see a re-test of panic lows DOWN UP 1
02/25/11 Three diminishing losses from a high UP UP 5
02/15/11 52-week high on expiration Monday DOWN UP 0
02/15/11 NR7 day at a high with low volume DOWN UP 0
01/20/11 Surge in buying climaxes DOWN UP 0
01/14/11 Earnings and optimism (again) DOWN UP 0
01/10/11 Earnings season with high optimism DOWN UP 0
12/02/10 Upside follow through from Up Volume surge UP UP 4
12/01/10 Unfilled upside gap DOWN UP 1
11/05/10 Unfilled upside gap at a six-month high DOWN DOWN 5
10/27/10 Midterm election seasonality UP UP 5
10/13/10 NDX hits a high after Intel reports DOWN UP 0
10/11/10 VIX hits a low during early October DOWN UP 1
10/08/10 Week after a high on Payroll Report DOWN UP 1
10/08/10 Tues-Friday of October option expiry DOWN UP 1
10/08/10 Monday of October option expiration UP 3
10/06/10 The day after a multi-month breakout DOWN DOWN 4
09/28/10 Negative end to the month DOWN DOWN 4
09/23/10 Multiple down days after FOMC UP UP 5
09/17/10 Negative seasonality DOWN UP 0
08/19/10 Too much call buying DOWN DOWN 5
08/16/10 Five down days into a Monday UP UP 5
08/12/10 TRIN > 6.0 UP 3
08/11/10 Weakness after FOMC DOWN DOWN 4
08/06/10 Negative reaction to Payroll report DOWN 3
07/16/10 Extremely high TICK reading DOWN DOWN 4
06/30/10 Up Volume Ratio at 2% UP UP 5
06/22/10 Performance on FOMC day UP DOWN 1
06/18/10 Negative after June option expirations DOWN DOWN 5
05/03/10 Surge in buying climaxes DOWN DOWN 5

 

 

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM

 

DATE STUDY FORECAST OUTCOME ACCURACY
11/09/11 Arms Index Goes Above 6 UP 2
10/19/11 Seasonality into year-end UP UP 4
10/18/11 Surge in Nasdaq Up Volume UP 2
08/05/11 Multiple mini-crash stats UP UP 4
07/27/11 Optimism in "fear trade" currencies UP 2
07/12/11 Arms Index closes > 5 UP DOWN 1
07/07/11 S&P goes outside its Bollinger Band UP 3
06/22/11 A 90% up volume day off a low UP 2
06/20/11 Cluster of 90% down volume days UP 3
06/17/11 Put/Call Ratio > 1.0 for 2 straight days UP UP 5
06/16/11 VIX crosses 20% first time in 50 days UP 3
06/10/11 Stocks drop but VIX doesn't UP UP 4
06/09/11 AAII bulls low while stocks high UP DOWN 0
06/01/11 Consumer confidence low, stocks high UP DOWN 0
04/01/11 Surge in optimism among Rydex traders DOWN 2
05/11/11 A new all-time high in breadth UP DOWN 0
05/09/11 The S&P 500's bearish weekly price pattern DOWN DOWN 5
05/09/11 Big increase in futures speculators' positions DOWN DOWN 4
05/03/11 Jump in Rydex mutual fund traders' optimism DOWN DOWN 4
04/07/11 Surge in OEX put/call open interest DOWN 3
04/06/11 Near 20-year low in newsletter bears DOWN 3
04/01/11 Surge in optimism among Rydex traders DOWN 2
03/31/11 Rapid whipsaw in 10-day Up Issues Ratio UP UP 4
03/25/11 21-day Arms Index (TRIN) is extremely oversold UP UP 4
03/23/11 Three straight large gap up openings UP UP 5
03/22/11 Breadth thrust buy signal UP UP 4
03/21/11 Rapid whipsaw in 10-day Up Issues Ratio UP UP 4
03/21/11 Mini-panic selling washout UP UP 4
03/09/11 Bullishness in "fear trade" currencies UP 3
03/07/11 Surge In OEX Put/Call Ratio DOWN 3
02/08/11 Surge in OTC (penny stock) volume DOWN 3
02/01/11 Low mutual fund cash levels DOWN 3
12/29/10 S&P above 50-day for 4 months UP UP 5
12/13/10 Stocks at a high, but breadth is poor DOWN UP 0
12/12/10 Smart Money/Dumb Money extreme DOWN UP 0
11/30/10 The "best six months" if Sept/Oct are positive UP UP 5
11/29/10 Bearish S&P 100 (OEX) options traders DOWN UP 1
11/15/10 Very little hedging activity DOWN UP 0
11/02/10 Bullish S&P 100 (OEX) options traders UP 2
10/14/10 The Federal Reserve's POMO activity UP UP 5
10/14/10 New 52-week highs dry up DOWN UP 1
10/08/10 S&P performance during earnings season DOWN UP 1
10/08/10 Rydex traders long the Nasdaq 100 DOWN UP 0
10/05/10 All Fidelty sector funds beating cash UP UP 5
10/04/10 Commercial hedgers short the Nasdaq 100 DOWN UP 0
09/08/10 VIX sell signal DOWN UP 0
08/26/10 AAII Bulls drop to a five-year low UP UP 5
08/25/10 Currency "fear trade" bullishness UP UP 5
08/20/10 Hindenburg Omen confirmed DOWN 2
08/13/10 Hindenburg Omen triggers DOWN 2
08/11/10 Stock / Bond divergence UP 2
08/03/10 A/D Line makes a new high UP UP 5
07/14/10 Breadth thrust UP 2
07/08/10 Arms Index thrust UP UP 5
07/08/10 Extremely low AAII bullish % UP UP 5
07/07/10 Low Rydex Ratio UP UP 5
07/06/10 No Fidelity funds beating cash UP UP 5
05/13/10 Failure at 62% retrace of "flash crash" DOWN DOWN 5
05/07/10 "Shock days" in the market 5
04/14/10 Intel earnings and VIX sell signal DOWN DOWN 5
04/08/10 Performance during earnings DOWN 4
03/18/10 Dumb Money extreme DOWN UP 0
03/16/10 VIX premium to historical volatility UP UP 4
03/12/10 Overbought Up Volume UP UP 5
02/01/10 Intermediate-term Score extreme UP UP 4
01/21/10 "Top Spotter" table shows no top UP 4
01/15/10 Intel earnings precede dips DOWN DOWN 5
01/14/10 Earnings season with high optimism DOWN DOWN 5
01/13/10 VIX sell signal DOWN DOWN 5

 

 

Icon Meaning
51 Right on target
42 Very accurate
33 Mostly accurate
24 More failure than not
15 Mostly failed
06 Complete failure

 

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