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I just wanted to
send out a quick update since some data came out after the Morning
Report was sent. Many like to
follow the latest investment newsletter survey results from Investor's
Intelligence (click
here for more info on their services), and the most recent update is
interesting. The
percentage of bears in the survey has been exceptionally low for
several weeks now, as we've discussed on the site. That didn't
change this week (the scale in the chart below is inverted).
What has changed is the
percentage of bulls. Despite a choppy market that lost a
couple of percent last week, the bulls moved from 54% to 56% of the
total. For the first time since the bull market began, it reached
what we would consider to be extreme territory.
As most newsletter writers know, it's deadly to be bearish during a bull
market - which is why we saw the percentage of bears decline so quickly
and to such an extreme.
But it's another matter to be outright bullish, especially after a 70%+
rally. The fact that we're seeing that this week, after
such a huge rally, and after a down week in the major averages,
is notable and another reason to expect stocks to have more trouble
making an immediate about-face to regain and sustain new highs.
Jason
Goepfert Founder,
Sundial Capital Research, Inc.
Forwarding or other distribution of this email is prohibited without the express permission of Sundial Capital Research, Inc. If you do not possess a firm-wide license, then forwarding this message will violate your subscription agreement.
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