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2003 Report Archive
11 in a Row,
There's More to Go (?)
12/29/03 9:33pm EST
The incredible streak of higher lows we've seen in the
S&P has historically been positive, and we're now seeing a nearly complete
absence of selling pressure.
Speculation vs.
Seasonality
12/23/03 8:12pm EST
The seasonality is now extremely positive and very
consistent, but Rydex traders have finally jumped on the bandwagon to some
degree.
What's Special
About Specialists
12/21/03 10:00am EST
Specialist shorting is at an historic low point, and
there is (finally) some hesitancy shown by Rydex traders. Coupled
with positive seasonality, downside looks limited.
Where'd the
Puts Go?
12/17/03 8:30pm EST
We're still not seeing enough excessive optimism
short-term to look for a turn-back on new highs, but the put/call data is
very troubling.
New Highs and
Oversold?
12/15/03 9:15pm EST
This is one of the few times in history where the S&P
is hitting new 60-day highs yet is closer to oversold than overbought.
The Running of
the Bulls
12/11/03 9:15pm EST
There continue to be some positive signs for the
bulls, but with mass media picking coverage on the market, watch out for
too much enthusiasm on new highs.
Juice Above
1060
12/09/03 8:50pm EST
We have enough short-term pessimism going that a drop
below and reversal back above 1060 could give longs a little juice.
Hard to Short
Above 1060
12/07/03 10:20am EST
As long as we hold the 1060 level on S&P cash, these
mild oversold readings could lead to short-term rally.
Reversals That
Aren't
12/03/03 8:50pm EST
A history of these types of reversals is inconclusive.
Back to
Overbought
12/01/03 10:00pm EST
What was oversold in the last comment is now
overbought.
Almost Ready
for a Bounce
11/20/03 11:42pm EST
Some of our shorter-term measures are suggesting that
a bit more downside action should set up for a long trade.
Need to Relieve
the "Pressure"
11/18/03 9:00pm EST
Our Down Pressure reading on the Nasdaq 100 is one of
the highest of any seen over the past year.
Stuck in
Neutral
11/16/03 11:00am EST
While the uptrend is still intact, behavior from some
of the traders usually the most wrong on market direction has to be
considered very troubling.
No Need to
Worry
11/12/03 11:50pm EST
The market is doing what it needs to do to keep the
uptrend intact.
Look Long at
1040 on the S&P
11/10/03 8:50pm EST
If we approach the 1040 level on the S&P, we should
see a nice rebound soon afterward.
Highs Should
Fail
11/02/03 10:50am EST
It's difficult to justify short positions right now,
but any push to new highs should be quickly fought back.
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